HB5202: Science and monitoring on nearshore keystone species including sea otters, nearshore marine ecosystems, kelp and eelgrass habitat and sequestration of blue carbon
Research Team:
Will White (PI), Oregon State University, Coastal Oregon Marine Experiment Station
Mark Novak (PI), Department of Integrative Biology, Oregon State University
Leif Rasmuson (PI), Marine Resources Program, Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife
Project Objectives:
This project will develop a multi-species model of kelp-forest community dynamics to forecast the consequences of alternative management activities in several focal regions of Oregon's coast. The work will build on recent efforts to characterize and model nearshore community dynamics, including:
How kelp forests will respond to urchin culling;
How kelp restoration would affect urchin and abalone populations;
How otter reintroduction will affect urchin, kelp, and crab populations;
How the regional oceanographic differences can lead to different outcomes for kelp forests and could serve as indications of the potential for restoration success.
Project Partners:
Research will be integrated with key interest groups in Oregon - Dungeness Crab Commission, Oregon Kelp Alliance, and southern Oregon urchin fishers - to provide input during model development.
Project Timeline: March 2023 to February 2025
Project Award: $150,000
Final Report
Executive Summary
Bull kelp (Nereocystis luetkeana) forests in Oregon have declined substantially in recent
decades due to interacting effects of marine heatwaves, reduced predator control, and
overgrazing by sea urchins (Strongylocentrotus purpurates and Mesocentrotus
franciscanus). Several management actions have been proposed to promote kelp
persistence, including sea urchin removal, kelp seeding, and sea otter (Enhydra lutris)
reintroduction. However, these actions differ in their mechanisms, expected effectiveness,
and potential ecological or socioeconomic tradeoffs. In particular, sea otter reintroduction
may benefit kelp forests by restoring top-down control of urchins, but it may also affect
commercially important invertebrates in nearby habitats, such as Dungeness crab
(Metacarcinus magister).
We developed a multi-species trophic population model to evaluate how alternative
management strategies influence bull kelp persistence and fishable Dungeness crab
density in Oregon nearshore ecosystems. The model represented a one hectare rocky reef
system with a) bull kelp and sea urchin populations, and key demographic, behavioral, and
trophic interactions between them; b) an adjacent soft-bottom habitat containing a
Dungeness crab population, include important age- and sex-based demographics; and c)
the potential for sea otter predation on urchins and crabs, depending on diet preferences
and relative abundance. We evaluated kelp seeding, urchin removal, and combined
management under continuous and intermittent implementation timings, both with and
without sea otter reintroduction. We also assessed how sea otter prey-switching behavior
influenced fishable crab density through time.
Kelp seeding alone produced only minor increases in kelp persistence, whereas urchin
removal generated stronger responses. The greatest improvements occurred when urchin
removal and kelp seeding were combined, indicating that effective bull kelp restoration
benefits from simultaneous reduction of grazing pressure and enhancement of
recruitment. Combined management produced synergistic effects, increased kelp
persistence, and promoted recovery from barren states to kelp-dominated conditions.
Continuous combined management generated the most durable outcomes, although
intermittent combined management also improved persistence and may provide a realistic
option when continuous intervention is not feasible. Sea otter reintroduction increased
baseline kelp persistence by reducing urchin grazing pressure, but it did not eliminate the
benefits of direct restoration.
Sea otter predation reduced fishable Dungeness crab density across all prey-switching
scenarios, relative to no-otter conditions. Crab responses were temporally variable
following otter introduction, with an initial decline, partial intermediate recovery, and later
sustained reduction. These patterns reflected direct predation, prey-switching behavior,
kelp forest conditions, and compensatory dynamics within the crab population. However,
modeled crab reductions are best interpreted as localized effects within kelp-associated
habitats where sea otters and crabs overlap, rather than coastwide predictions for the
Oregon fishery.
Overall, this study suggests that bull kelp restoration in Oregon will likely require integrated
management strategies that combine active restoration, predator recovery, and
consideration of fishery tradeoffs. Sea otters may improve kelp forest persistence, but their
reintroduction should be evaluated as a broader socioecological intervention with uneven
benefits and costs across habitats, species, and stakeholder groups.
Figure 1. Model overview. Main biological processes and interactions included in the three linked sub-models: the kelp-urchin stage-structure sub-model, the Dungeness crab age-structure sub-model, and the sea otter predation model. Text colors correspond to the species affected by each process. Dotted arrows indicate processes that reduce biomass or abundance, including mortality, grazing, harvest, and predation. Solid arrows indicate additive or transition processes, including recruitment, growth, aging, and behavioral state changes. Illustration by Andrés Pinos-Sánchez.
Original artwork was obtained from the Integration and Application Network image library and modified for this study: sea urchin by Jess K. Hopf; Dungeness crab by Kim Kraeer and Lucy Van Essen-Fishman; sea otter by Tracey Saxby; and kelp by Jane Thomas. Source: ian.umces.edu/media-library.